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Fantasy

2017 STATS Fantasy Football: Week 14 Tiers

By: STATS LLC

Don’t forget, these fantasy football tiers reflect non-PPR scoring. The number in parentheses next to the player’s matchup indicates how many tiers they’d move up or down in PPR scoring. One thing to note – just because a RB may see a couple receptions doesn’t mean they would simply get a +1 rating. Keep in mind that these PPR ratings factor in the players surrounding him, so if he’s expected to get 2.0 rec, but surrounded by players getting 3+ receptions, he could actually sink a bit, relatively speaking. Just remember that these are dynamic and do factor that aspect in.

The FLEX Rating is a number that allows you to compare each tier across the RB/WR/TE positions for FLEX decisions.

Without further ado, here are the Week 14 tiers:

Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford’s status is still up in the air, so take his current ranking with a grain of salt. His final rank will depend on reports we get on his bruised hand. It’s important to note that only 0.4 points separate QB4 to QB12, so I anticipate a ton of sit/start questions in that range this week. When it is that close, its ideal to simply go with the QB you can trust the most.

Russell Wilson has the brutal draw at the Jaguars this week. Although he is surely going to see his passing stats suppressed and likely under pressure even more than he is used to, I think the fact that he may be running for his life (even more) could result in elevated rushing stats. Despite the downgrade overall, I still view him as a fairly safe QB1 this week.

Tier 1

Tom Brady (@ MIA)

Tier 2

Carson Wentz (@ LAR)
Alex Smith (vs OAK)

Tier 3

Matt Ryan (vs NO)
Russell Wilson (@ JAX)
Drew Brees (@ ATL)
Philip Rivers (vs WAS)
Ben Roethlisberger (vs BAL)
Cam Newton (vs MIN)
Jared Goff (vs PHI)
Matthew Stafford (@ TB)
Jameis Winston (vs DET)

Tier 4

Kirk Cousins (@ LAC)
Dak Prescott (@ NYG)
Marcus Mariota (@ ARI)

Tier 5

Case Keenum (@ CAR)
Derek Carr (@ KC)
DeShone Kizer (vs GB)
Brett Hundley (@ CLE)
Jimmy Garoppolo (@ HOU)
Andy Dalton (vs CHI)
Blaine Gabbert (vs TEN)
Jacoby Brissett (@ BUF)
Josh McCown (@ DEN)
Tyrod Taylor (vs IND)

Tier 6

Blake Bortles (vs SEA)
Tom Savage (vs SF)
Trevor Siemian (vs NYJ)

Tier 7

Jay Cutler (vs NE)
Eli Manning (vs DAL)

Tier 8

Joe Flacco (@ PIT)
Mitchell Trubisky (@ CIN)

Running Backs

As of right now, the rankings reflect the fact that I am projecting Joe Mixon, Doug Martin, and Adrian Peterson to be playing this week. That is not to say that I think they will be active necessarily, it’s just too soon to be ranking as if all three are out and having misleading ranks for guys like Gio Bernard, Peyton Barber, and Kerwynn Williams.

Yes, if Doug Martin is ruled out again, you better believe Barber would shoot up the rankings with that news. If that happens, be sure to check my Twitter timeline for updates. It’s not as simple as saying, “If Doug Martin is ruled out, Peyton Barber will be ranked X.” It is still early in the week and we want to be sure to be using as much information as we can some Sunday.

At this time last week, we assumed Jacquizz Rogers would be the starter, only to have Barber announced as the starter about an hour before the game (if you checked out the sit/start link on Twitter you would have seen I tweaked Barber up/Rogers down a bit after that news).

Kareem Hunt is for sure going to be the most controversial back this week. People are correct that he may be hitting a “rookie wall” as people like to say. I tend to think more analytically about his drop off as him not being able to sustain his performances in Weeks 1-5. He was getting huge chunks of yards/TDs off big plays. We really haven’t seen those big plays the past five weeks or so (and 0 TDs since Week 3) making everyone abandon ship. I think if anything, this makes him a frustrating week-to-week RB2 but think you have to play him based on his upside. It’s one thing if you are able to start Alvin Kamara, LeSean McCoy, and Todd Gurley instead, but if you are making it a point to start someone like C.J. Anderson over Hunt, I think it’s a big mistake.

Tier 1 (FLEX Rating: 17.5)

Le’Veon Bell (vs BAL)

Tier 2 (15.0)

Todd Gurley (vs PHI)
Alvin Kamara (@ ATL)

Tier 3 (13.5)

LeSean McCoy (vs IND)
Melvin Gordon (vs WAS)
Leonard Fournette (vs SEA)
Mark Ingram (@ ATL)

Tier 4 (13.0)

Lamar Miller (vs SF)

Tier 5 (11.5)

Jamaal Williams (@ CLE)
Carlos Hyde (@ HOU)
Samaje Perine (@ LAC)
Kareem Hunt (vs OAK)
Kenyan Drake (vs NE)

Tier 6 (10.5)

Jordan Howard (-1, @ CIN)
Devonta Freeman (vs NO)
Dion Lewis (@ MIA)
Alex Collins (@ PIT)
Marshawn Lynch (@ KC)
Alfred Morris (-2, @ NYG)

Tier 7 (9.5)

Rex Burkhead (+1, @ MIA)
Frank Gore (@ BUF)
Latavius Murray (-1, @ CAR)
Joe Mixon (vs CHI)*

Tier 8 (8.5)

Derrick Henry (-1, @ ARI)
Christian McCaffrey (+3, vs MIN)
DeMarco Murray (@ ARI)
Mike Davis (@ JAX)
Orleans Darkwa (vs DAL)
C.J. Anderson (vs NYJ)
Tevin Coleman (vs NO)
Jerick McKinnon (+1, @ CAR)
Isaiah Crowell (-1, vs GB)

Tier 9 (7.0)

Adrian Peterson (-1, vs TEN)*
Duke Johnson Jr. (+1, vs GB)
Peyton Barber (vs DET)*
Jay Ajayi (@ LAR)
Matt Forte (@ DEN)

Tier 10 (6.5)

Austin Ekeler (+1, vs WAS)
Rod Smith (@ NYG)
Jonathan Stewart (-2, vs MIN)
Bilal Powell (@ DEN)
Giovani Bernard (vs CHI)*

Tier 11 (5.5)

Ameer Abdullah (@ TB)*
Marlon Mack (@ BUF)
Kerwynn Williams (vs TEN)
Devontae Booker (vs NYJ)
Theo Riddick (@ TB)*
LeGarrette Blount (-1, @ LAR)
Doug Martin (vs DET)*

*Extremely volatile rank due to being a GTD or a teammate whose value is directly tied to the player that is a GTD.

Wide Receivers

Josh Gordon is back! If you tracked my rank for him on FantasyPros this week it kept creeping up with more and more positive reports throughout the week. Despite his big game, he still left quite a few points on the field after nearly connecting for a 44-yard TD. The Browns seem set to run the offense through him the rest of the season, and this week at home verses the Packers is as good of a matchup as you can get. He is locked and loaded as a solid WR2 with obvious WR1 upside.

Tier 1 (13.5)

Antonio Brown (vs BAL)

Tier 2 (11.5)

A.J. Green (vs CHI)
Keenan Allen (vs WAS)
DeAndre Hopkins (vs SF)
Julio Jones (vs NO)

Tier 3 (10.5)

Brandin Cooks (-1, @ MIA)
Tyreek Hill (vs OAK)
Michael Thomas (@ ATL)
Mike Evans (vs DET)

Tier 4 (9.5)

Adam Thielen (@ CAR)
Larry Fitzgerald (+1, vs TEN)

Tier 5 (9.0)

Dez Bryant (@ NYG)
Davante Adams (@ CLE)
Michael Crabtree (@ KC)
Josh Gordon (vs GB)
Jamison Crowder (@ LAC)
Golden Tate (@ TB)
Marvin Jones Jr. (-1, @ TB)
Cooper Kupp (vs PHI)
Devin Funchess (vs MIN)
Robby Anderson (@ DEN)
Alshon Jeffery (@ LAR)

Tier 6 (8.5)

Jarvis Landry (+1, vs NE)
T.Y. Hilton (@ BUF)
Doug Baldwin (@ JAX)
Sterling Shepard (vs DAL)
Stefon Diggs (@ CAR)
Demaryius Thomas (vs NYJ)
Marquise Goodwin (@ HOU)
Chris Hogan (@ MIA)
Sammy Watkins (-1, vs PHI)

Tier 7 (7.5)

Jermaine Kearse (@ DEN)
Kenny Stills (vs NE)
Emmanuel Sanders (vs NYJ)
Ted Ginn Jr. (@ ATL)
Amari Cooper (@ KC)
Mohamed Sanu (vs NO)
DeSean Jackson (vs DET)
Marqise Lee (vs SEA)
Rishard Matthews (@ ARI)
Martavis Bryant (vs BAL)
Mike Wallace (@ PIT)
Nelson Agholor (@ LAR)

Tier 8 (6.5)

Jeremy Maclin (@ PIT)
DeVante Parker (vs NE)
Jordy Nelson (@ CLE)

Tier 9 (5.5)

Josh Doctson (@ LAC)
Dontrelle Inman (@ CIN)
Corey Davis (@ ARI)
Dede Westbrook (vs SEA)
Corey Coleman (vs GB)
Will Fuller V (vs SF)
Randall Cobb (@ CLE)
Travis Benjamin (vs WAS)
Danny Amendola (@ MIA)
Kelvin Benjamin (vs IND)
Brandon LaFell (vs CHI)
Trent Taylor (@ HOU)
Ryan Grant (@ LAC)
Kenny Golladay (@ TB)
Albert Wilson (vs OAK)
Paul Richardson (@ JAX)

Tier 10 (4.5)

Terrance Williams (@ NYG)
Zay Jones (vs IND)
Tavarres King (vs DAL)
Josh Reynolds (vs PHI)
Eli Rogers (vs BAL)
Tyrell Williams (vs WAS)
J.J. Nelson (vs TEN)
Jaron Brown (vs TEN)

Tight Ends

No players stock went up as much as Travis Kelce’s this week. After the Chiefs offense predictably blew up when Andy Reid stepped down as play caller, we saw them make it a point to get the ball to their best pass catchers in Tyreek Hill and Kelce. They have an even better matchup this week at home against the Raiders sieve-like pass defense. Also factor in that Gronk has been suspended for Week 14 and Zach Ertz could miss due to the concussion he suffered in Week 13. That could potentially set up Kelce to be 3+ projected points higher than the No. 2 TE.

The sneaky TE streamer of Week 14 is Stephen Anderson. He has typically been the back-up to either Ryan Griffin or C.J. Fiedorowicz every single week. With both on IR now, it is his time to be the No. 1 TE option for the Texans. It’s important to note he isn’t some plodding blocking TE who occasionally goes out for a pass. In college, he played as a WR/TE hybrid for Cal with their pass-happy offense with Jared Goff under center.

Tier 1 (10.5)

Travis Kelce (vs OAK)

Tier 2 (8.5)

Zach Ertz (@ LAR)

Tier 3 (7.5)

Delanie Walker (@ ARI)
Evan Engram (vs DAL)
Jimmy Graham (@ JAX)

Tier 4 (6.0)

Jack Doyle (@ BUF)
Hunter Henry (vs WAS)
Jared Cook (@ KC)
Kyle Rudolph (@ CAR)
Jason Witten (@ NYG)
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (@ DEN)
Vernon Davis (@ LAC)

Tier 5 (5.0)

Austin Hooper (vs NO)
Ricky Seals-Jones (vs TEN)
Charles Clay (vs IND)
Greg Olsen (vs MIN)
Cameron Brate (vs DET)
Stephen Anderson (vs SF)
Julius Thomas (vs NE)
Tyler Kroft (vs CHI)
Eric Ebron (@ TB)
David Njoku (vs GB)
Dwayne Allen (@ MIA)

Kicker

Tier 1

Stephen Gostkowski (@ MIA)

Tier 2

Wil Lutz (@ ATL)
Matt Bryant (vs NO)
Greg Zuerlein (vs PHI)
Travis Coons (vs WAS)
Harrison Butker (vs OAK)
Ryan Succop (@ ARI)

Tier 3

Matt Prater (@ TB)
Dan Bailey (@ NYG)
Ka’imi Fairbairn (vs SF)
Chris Boswell (vs BAL)

Tier 4

Kai Forbath (@ CAR)
Jake Elliott (@ LAR)
Stephen Hauschka (vs IND)
Josh Lambo (vs SEA)
Chandler Catanzaro (@ DEN)
Giorgio Tavecchio (@ KC)
Phil Dawson (vs TEN)
Randy Bullock (vs CHI)
Adam Vinatieri (@ BUF)
Robbie Gould (@ HOU)
Patrick Murray (vs DET)
Brandon McManus (vs NYJ)
Nick Rose (@ LAC)
Mason Crosby (@ CLE)
Graham Gano (vs MIN)
Justin Tucker (@ PIT)

Tier 5

Blair Walsh (@ JAX)
Aldrick Rosas (vs DAL)
Cody Parkey (vs NE)
Zane Gonzalez (vs GB)

Tier 6

Mike Nugent (@ CIN)

Defense

Tier 1

Jacksonville Jaguars (vs SEA)
Green Bay Packers (@ CLE)
New England Patriots (@ MIA)

Tier 2

Cincinnati Bengals (vs CHI)
Tennessee Titans (@ ARI)
Pittsburgh Steelers (vs BAL)
Minnesota Vikings (@ CAR)
Dallas Cowboys (@ NYG)
Indianapolis Colts (@ BUF)

Tier 3

New York Jets (@ DEN)
Los Angeles Chargers (vs WAS)
Houston Texans (vs SF)
Buffalo Bills (vs IND)
Seattle Seahawks (@ JAX)
Denver Broncos (vs NYJ)

Tier 4

Cleveland Browns (vs GB)
Arizona Cardinals (vs TEN)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs DET)
Detroit Lions (@ TB)
San Francisco 49ers (@ HOU)

Tier 5

Chicago Bears (@ CIN)
Los Angeles Rams (vs PHI)
Baltimore Ravens (@ PIT)
New York Giants (vs DAL)
Kansas City Chiefs (vs OAK)
Carolina Panthers (vs MIN)

Tier 6

Philadelphia Eagles (@ LAR)
New Orleans Saints (@ ATL)
Washington Redskins (@ LAC)

Tier 7

Atlanta Falcons (vs NO)
Oakland Raiders (@ KC)

Tier 8

Miami Dolphins (vs NE)