Season Review 2019/20

Welcome


Welcome to Stats Perform’s English Premier League season review for the 2019/20 season.

Interactive and showcasing a host of detailed performance metrics, this report provides insight into the league’s standout performers, applying innovative frameworks produced by our team of AI scientists.

Within this review, we share a comprehensive breakdown of performance at the key ends of the pitch, as well as sharing detailed insight on team style, both in and out of possession. Detailed player analysis also features, with key metrics ranked across different positions.

Notable additions to our reviews this summer include details on the teams most effective at generating opportunities from high turnovers, together with insights into how each team approached the changes to the goal kick rule. We also apply metrics to highlight the ball carrying players who were effective at generating goalscoring opportunities through running with the ball.

These new features reflect Stats Perform’s ongoing commitment to further explore how performance data can inform a club’s decision-making across performance analysis, recruitment and long-term strategic planning.

We hope you find some interesting insights from this review.

Team

Expected Goals (For)

Overview


Key Points:

  • Ranked by league position, this table outlines teams’ performances in front of goal, from both open play and set piece situations.

  • Manchester City’s ability to generate high quality chances from open play was demonstrated by amassing an xG output of 72.2 from 575 shots. They exceeded the xG output of champions Liverpool by nearly 18, who ranked second in the metric having generated an xG of 54.8.

  • 36% of Burnley’s xG output came from set pieces, the highest ratio in the league. Tottenham sit at the other end of the spectrum, having generated 89% of their xG output from open play.

  • Exploring overperformance against these metrics, five clubs scored at least two more goals than expected from set pieces, and in contrast eight clubs underperformed by at least two goals. The most notable of these were Watford, who perhaps would have expected to score nearly six more goals from the chances they generated from set plays. The Hornets also underperformed from open play, creating chances worth an xG of 32.7 but only found the net on 24 occasions.


Expected Goals For
Set Play : Total
Open Play
Set Play
Team xG Ratio Shots xG Goals SP Shots SP xG SP Goals
Liverpool 0.16 450 54.8 61 136 11.0 17
Manchester City 0.14 575 72.2 77 159 13.2 17
Manchester United 0.14 416 42.6 47 114 9.1 8
Chelsea 0.17 459 53.5 51 159 12.1 11
Leicester City 0.21 398 44.4 53 135 13.3 7
Tottenham Hotspur 0.11 346 39.8 45 94 5.5 8
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0.21 337 40.1 34 120 11.4 11
Arsenal 0.19 292 36.3 41 111 9.0 12
Sheffield United 0.25 254 32.1 29 98 11.0 6
Burnley 0.36 256 28.7 25 128 17.4 13
Southampton 0.25 346 38.8 38 148 14.5 11
Everton 0.30 297 35.4 30 171 15.7 11
Newcastle United 0.25 288 26.0 24 110 9.1 14
Crystal Palace 0.28 249 23.9 19 124 10.0 7
Brighton and Hove Albion 0.29 333 31.3 22 127 13.4 12
West Ham United 0.28 288 32.3 31 125 14.1 14
Aston Villa 0.30 323 29.3 24 132 13.4 15
Bournemouth 0.31 235 28.4 19 150 14.1 15
Watford 0.21 295 32.7 24 121 10.5 4
Norwich City 0.21 302 27.4 20 105 7.6 3

Graphic


Definitions


Metric Definition
Set Play Chances occuring as a result of a corner, direct free kick, indirect free kick or throw-in.
Set Play : Total xG Ratio The proportion of a team’s total xG that resulted from set plays.
Expected Goals (xG) Expected Goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several variables such as assist type, shot angle and distance from goal, whether it was a headed shot and whether it was defined as a big chance. Adding up a player or team’s expected goals can give us an indication of how many goals a player or team should have scored on average, given the shots they have taken.

Expected Goals (Against)

Overview


Key Points:

  • Of the teams to qualify for the Champions League, only Chelsea conceded more goals from open play than their xG total would suggest. The Blues conceded chances at a similar quality level to Manchester United, who recorded the lowest output in the league, yet conceded 14 more goals than Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men.

  • For the second successive season, Newcastle’s xG conceded from set pieces was the highest in the league. The Magpies conceded 98 more shots than Manchester City, who recorded the Premier League’s lowest output.

  • Nine teams conceded fewer goals than their xG output, with Crystal Palace being notable for conceding nearly eight goals fewer than xG would project. Together with Leicester, Tottenham and Sheffield United conceded the fewest goals from set pieces, however based on the quality of chances both teams conceded, we would have perhaps expected them to have conceded up to 50% more set piece goals during the campaign.


Expected Goals Against
Set Play : Total
Open Play
Set Play
Team xG Ratio Shots xG Goals SP Shots SP xG SP Goals
Liverpool 0.18 264 30.5 24 77 6.9 7
Manchester City 0.17 203 29.0 24 74 6.2 7
Manchester United 0.25 269 26.0 21 117 9.6 11
Chelsea 0.29 202 26.1 35 118 11.3 14
Leicester City 0.21 260 28.4 25 108 9.8 6
Tottenham Hotspur 0.23 386 37.5 34 146 12.5 6
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0.21 284 28.1 29 112 7.9 9
Arsenal 0.24 387 36.5 26 158 13.4 15
Sheffield United 0.24 298 36.5 32 130 12.1 6
Burnley 0.21 389 36.2 38 145 10.5 7
Southampton 0.20 324 39.8 45 124 10.5 11
Everton 0.24 305 34.1 35 118 11.6 15
Newcastle United 0.28 392 46.5 39 172 19.0 15
Crystal Palace 0.29 363 40.5 39 148 16.7 9
Brighton and Hove Albion 0.24 374 41.0 40 122 13.6 10
West Ham United 0.17 368 48.7 44 127 11.1 10
Aston Villa 0.21 440 49.2 46 162 14.8 15
Bournemouth 0.17 436 48.1 50 117 10.5 10
Watford 0.20 358 40.2 37 129 12.0 16
Norwich City 0.23 437 47.0 51 163 15.3 17

Graphic


Definitions


Metric Definition
Set Play Chances occuring as a result of a corner, direct free kick, indirect free kick or throw-in.
Set Play : Total xG Ratio The proportion of a team’s total xG that resulted from set plays.
Expected Goals (xG) Expected Goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several variables such as assist type, shot angle and distance from goal, whether it was a headed shot and whether it was defined as a big chance. Adding up a player or team’s expected goals can give us an indication of how many goals a player or team should have scored on average, given the shots they have taken.

Team Sequences (Style)

Overview


Key Points:

  • In this section we explore team style using the Stats Perform sequence framework. Using sequence time and passes per sequence, we can assess a team’s approach in terms of how they move the ball. Using direct speed, we are able to identify who progresses the ball quickly.

  • In relation to longer sequences, Manchester City are the Premier League’s standout team, with an average sequence time over three seconds longer then the next highest team, Liverpool, whilst recording over 100 more attacks derived from build-up sequences than the champions.

  • At the other end of the table, Norwich City are the outlier. Amongst the bottom five teams, they were the only team to average more than three passes per sequence and their direct speed, 1.26 m/s, was the slowest in the league.

  • According to this metric, Bournemouth were the team that progressed the ball quickest this season. Burnley’s direct style is also illustrated through sequences, with the Clarets recording the fewest passes per sequence and the shortest average sequence time.


Open Play Sequences
Sequence Summaries
Sequence Styles
Team Sequence Time Passes Per Sequence Direct Speed 10+ Pass OP Sequences Build Up Attacks Direct Attacks
Liverpool 11.04 4.28 1.43 682 148 80
Manchester City 14.78 5.41 1.28 919 251 56
Manchester United 10.30 3.85 1.45 471 111 82
Chelsea 11.09 4.27 1.40 645 134 58
Leicester City 9.81 3.80 1.34 485 105 72
Tottenham Hotspur 9.39 3.54 1.42 420 73 72
Wolverhampton Wanderers 8.71 3.24 1.55 326 68 76
Arsenal 10.70 3.86 1.40 440 92 71
Sheffield United 7.34 2.93 1.33 203 34 46
Burnley 6.26 2.55 1.60 140 23 28
Southampton 7.18 2.79 1.35 252 51 56
Everton 8.27 3.10 1.61 291 62 56
Newcastle United 7.15 2.70 1.59 209 32 56
Crystal Palace 7.47 2.84 1.58 221 38 53
Brighton and Hove Albion 9.47 3.52 1.48 377 72 55
West Ham United 7.65 2.92 1.54 228 38 62
Aston Villa 7.75 2.84 1.55 171 36 52
Bournemouth 7.47 2.83 1.64 199 35 57
Watford 6.90 2.69 1.61 186 35 50
Norwich City 9.24 3.40 1.26 320 67 41

Graphic


Definitions


Metric Definition
Sequences Sequences are defined as passages of play which belong to one team and are ended by defensive actions, stoppages in play or a shot.
Possessions Possessions are defined as one or more sequences in a row belonging to the same team. A series of passes leading to a shot which is saved and results in a corner kick would comprise one possession since the same team retains control, but more than one sequence, since the ball has gone out of play. A possession is ended by the opposition gaining control of the ball.
Sequence Time The average time (in seconds) per sequence.
Passes per Sequence The average number of passes per sequence.
Direct Speed A measure of how quickly a team progresses the ball upfield (metres/second).
10+ Pass OP Sequences The number of open play sequences that includes 10 or more passes.
Build Up Attacks The number of open play sequences that contains 10 or more passes and either ends in a shot or has at least one touch in the box.
Direct Attacks The number of open play sequences that starts just inside the team’s own half and has at least 50% of movement towards the opposition’s goal and ends in a shot or a touch in the opposition box.

Team Sequences (Pressure)

Overview


Key Points:

  • The sequence framework can also be applied to assess a team’s approach out of possession. We can understand where on the pitch a team disrupts a sequence, and where they win the ball back.

  • Southampton’s aggressive approach to pressing, which is reflected in their PPDA score of 10 (ranking them second in the league), paid dividends in terms of goals scored as a result of high turnovers. No other team scored more than the Saints’ total of seven.

  • Newcastle were one team who did not adopt a pressing approach, allowing their opponents plenty of the ball and committing the lowest number of high turnovers in the Premier League. However unlike Everton and Crystal Palace, the Magpies did manage to score once from a turnover within 40 metres of the opposition goal.

  • Selecting the ‘Graphic’ tab, we can see the high turnover pitch map of every Premier League team.


Sequence Pressure Stats
High Turnovers
Team PPDA Total Shot Ending Goal Ending
Liverpool 10.3 252 52 5
Manchester City 10.1 254 65 6
Manchester United 11.1 146 33 4
Chelsea 10.6 174 35 4
Leicester City 9.5 171 38 5
Tottenham Hotspur 12.2 144 27 5
Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.0 112 26 4
Arsenal 12.5 138 24 6
Sheffield United 15.7 170 19 1
Burnley 13.4 153 32 2
Southampton 10.0 201 39 7
Everton 11.8 153 18 0
Newcastle United 19.5 106 21 1
Crystal Palace 14.7 141 24 0
Brighton and Hove Albion 11.6 134 21 2
West Ham United 14.6 130 21 1
Aston Villa 13.8 137 19 1
Bournemouth 14.4 139 24 2
Watford 13.8 177 37 5
Norwich City 13.9 122 27 2

Graphic

Liverpool


Manchester City


Manchester United


Chelsea


Leicester City


Tottenham Hotspur


Wolverhampton Wanderers


Arsenal


Sheffield United


Burnley


Southampton


Everton


Newcastle United


Crystal Palace


Brighton and Hove Albion


West Ham United


Aston Villa


Bournemouth


Watford


Norwich City


Definitions


Metric Definition
High Turnovers The number of sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent’s goal.
Shot Ending High Turnovers The number of shot-ending sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent’s goal.
Goal Ending High Turnovers The number of goal-ending sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent’s goal.
PPDA

PPDA is the number of opposition passes allowed outside of the pressing team’s own defensive third, divided by the number of defensive actions by the pressing team outside of their own defensive third.

A lower figure indicates a higher level of pressing, while a higher figure indicates a lower level of pressing.

Goal Kicks

Overview


Key Points:

  • Following the introduction of the new goal kick rule, we can establish which teams have used the rule change to build-up attacks from the back.

  • Manchester United recorded the highest proportion of goal kicks which ended inside their own box (60.1%), a tactic which resulted them gaining more territory compared to when they went long. United averaged nearly 50 metres ball progression upfieldwhen they went short, compared to 37.5 metres when a goal kick cleared their own box.

  • Brighton were another team who regularly utilised short goal kicks. However, unlike United, they were more successful in progressing the ball when they went long, consistently going down the left hand side when they took this approach.

  • Eight teams elected to clear their own box from goal kicks on over 90% of occasions, with Sheffield United not taking a single goal kick ending in their own box over the whole season.

  • Selecting the ‘Graphic’ tab, we can see the end location of every goal kick taken by the goalkeepers for each club during the season.


New Goal Kick Rule: Who’s using it?
Goal Kick End Location
Goal Kick Upfield Progression
Team In the box Outside the box % ending in the box In the box (m) Outside the box (m)
Liverpool 98 141 41.0 53.6 50.0
Manchester City 87 80 52.1 64.4 49.9
Manchester United 161 107 60.1 49.6 37.5
Chelsea 117 109 51.8 53.5 42.1
Leicester City 96 145 39.8 51.2 43.1
Tottenham Hotspur 108 184 37.0 42.9 43.3
Wolverhampton Wanderers 10 273 3.5 34.2 45.4
Arsenal 140 174 44.6 42.6 37.1
Sheffield United 0 272 0.0 0.0 43.6
Burnley 3 301 1.0 45.7 44.5
Southampton 25 230 9.8 56.7 40.0
Everton 96 179 34.9 47.8 43.4
Newcastle United 15 325 4.4 54.7 43.6
Crystal Palace 24 289 7.7 48.5 42.4
Brighton and Hove Albion 146 128 53.3 45.3 49.9
West Ham United 13 278 4.5 43.2 47.0
Aston Villa 63 280 18.4 42.4 42.1
Bournemouth 63 232 21.4 44.3 44.8
Watford 9 286 3.1 62.4 40.6
Norwich City 103 246 29.5 46.1 41.8

Graphic

Liverpool


Manchester City


Manchester United


Chelsea


Leicester City


Tottenham Hotspur


Wolverhampton Wanderers


Arsenal


Sheffield United


Burnley


Southampton


Everton


Newcastle United


Crystal Palace


Brighton and Hove Albion


West Ham United


Aston Villa


Bournemouth


Watford


Norwich City


Definitions

Metric Definition
Total In Box Goal Kicks The total number of a team’s goal kicks that ended inside the box
Total Out of Box Goal Kicks The total number of a team’s goal kicks that ended outside the box
Average In Box Goal Kick Progression

Average distance in metres upfield a team reached while in control of possession following a team’s goal kick ending outside the box.

Example (controlled possession): If Mustafi receives the ball from the goal kick inside his area and then attempts an unsuccessful long ball forwards that goes out for a throw in, then the progression was only controlled to the point of where he was in control of the ball in his own box.
Average Out of Box Goal Kick Progression Average distance in metres upfield a team reached while in control of possession following a team’s goal kick ending outside the box.

Player

Expected Goals

Overview


Key Points:

  • Ranked by xG per 90, this table illustrates who took the highest quality shooting opportunities throughout the season.

  • In a season hampered by injuries, Sergio Agüero posted the highest xG per 90 output. He was the only player in the league’s top three to exceed his xG per 90, in both xGOT and goals scored, reinforcing the quality of his finishing.

  • West Ham’s Michael Antonio was another player who managed to find high quality goalscoring locations, ranking fourth in the league for xG. Although he was unable to match his xG in terms of actual goals, his xGOT output, which marginally exceeded his xG, indicates he was somewhat unfortunate not to have scored more.

  • From this list, Chris Wood scored the highest proportion of goals with his head, with 36% of the New Zealander’s 14 goals coming from headers inside the box.


Top 10 Players Expected Goals Per 90 Minutes
Per 90 Minutes
Goal Method %
Goal Loc. %
Team Player Minutes Played xG xGOT Goals Header Left Foot Right Foot Other Inside The Box
Sergio Agüero 1456 0.90 0.92 0.99 13% 13% 75% 0% 88%
Gabriel Jesus 2027 0.82 0.76 0.62 14% 36% 50% 0% 100%
Tammy Abraham 2221 0.68 0.52 0.61 20% 0% 80% 0% 93%
Michail Antonio 1770 0.67 0.68 0.51 20% 10% 70% 0% 100%
Marcus Rashford 2653 0.65 0.65 0.58 6% 18% 76% 0% 94%
Raheem Sterling 2660 0.64 0.60 0.68 15% 30% 55% 0% 95%
Mohamed Salah 2884 0.60 0.66 0.59 11% 79% 11% 0% 100%
Jamie Vardy 3034 0.58 0.61 0.68 13% 39% 48% 0% 96%
Chris Wood 2444 0.58 0.54 0.52 36% 36% 29% 0% 100%
Danny Ings 2812 0.52 0.55 0.70 0% 36% 59% 5% 82%

Pressure & Clarity


Key Points:

  • This section outlines these players’ shooting habits in terms of shot pressure and shot clarity.

  • Recording the highest xG per shot output in this list, Chris Wood demonstrated an ability to get into good scoring locations inside the box. Over 40% of the Burnley forward’s attempts came from high clarity situations, with a third of his shots also occurring when he was under low pressure.

  • Although Tammy Abraham was unable to match his xG for the season, we can establish that 50% of his shots occurred when under high pressure, meaning that opposition players were within tackling distance when he was looking to shoot.

  • The Premier League’s top goalscorer, Jamie Vardy, again demonstrated good decision making in front of goal, which is reflected in his high xG per shot output. He also attempted the lowest proportion of attempts from low clarity situations from the players listed here.


Shot Pressure & Clarity Distribution
Pressure Level %
Clarity Level %
Team Player xG per shot High Pressure Moderate Pressure Low Pressure Open Goal High Clarity Moderate Clarity Low Clarity
Sergio Agüero 0.19 27.6 43.4 28.9 1.3 30.3 59.2 9.2
Gabriel Jesus 0.18 38.6 34.7 26.7 1.0 30.7 63.4 5.0
Tammy Abraham 0.19 50.0 28.4 21.6 1.1 29.5 65.9 3.4
Michail Antonio 0.19 45.6 39.7 14.7 0.0 30.9 66.2 2.9
Marcus Rashford 0.20 18.9 31.6 49.5 1.1 25.3 55.8 17.9
Raheem Sterling 0.19 26.3 39.4 34.3 1.0 28.3 58.6 12.1
Mohamed Salah 0.15 22.7 41.7 35.6 0.8 28.8 57.6 12.9
Jamie Vardy 0.22 37.1 38.2 24.7 2.2 36.0 59.6 2.2
Chris Wood 0.24 36.9 29.2 33.8 0.0 41.5 52.3 6.2
Danny Ings 0.18 34.4 33.3 32.3 1.1 21.5 68.8 8.6

Graphic

Sergio Agüero


Gabriel Jesus


Tammy Abraham


Michail Antonio


Marcus Rashford


Raheem Sterling


Mohamed Salah


Jamie Vardy


Chris Wood


Danny Ings


Definitions


Metric Definition
Expected Goals (xG) Expected Goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several variables such as assist type, shot angle and distance from goal, whether it was a headed shot and whether it was defined as a big chance. Adding up a player or team’s expected goals can give us an indication of how many goals a player or team should have scored on average, given the shots they have taken.
Expected Goals On Target (xGOT) Expected Goals on Target is a separate Expected Goals Model that includes the original xG of the shot, and the goalmouth location where the shot ended up. It gives more credit to shots that end up in the corners, vs shots that go straight down the middle, and is built on historical on-target shots.
Shot Pressure Shot pressure is judged by the amount of pressure a player is under by opposition players when they shoot at goal. At the time of the shot, the opposition players must be moving towards the ball (even if only slightly) or trying to put the shooter off in order to add pressure on the shooter.
Shot Clarity Shot clarity assesses the line of sight between a player and the goal as a shot is taken. It is determined by the number of players (opposition and own team included) obstructing the clarity of the ball’s path to goal.

Expected Assists

Overview


Key Points:

  • Understanding that all assists cannot be measured in the same way (a through ball putting the striker one-on-one against a goalkeeper is not the same as a laying the ball off 30 yards from goal for a team mate), the expected assists metric can support in identifying the players who have made high quality passes throughout the season, and have contributed to their team’s chance creation.

  • Kevin De Bruyne equalled the Premier League record for most assists in a single campaign and it will come as no surprise that the Belgian recorded the highest xA (0.41) and chances created per 90 (2.8) in this list.

  • Adama Traore is the highest ranking player unattached to Manchester City amongst the league’s top ten. Playing in a team completing fewer passes per game than the league runners-up, it is noteworthy that the Wolves winger created the most chances per 100 passes of all the players listed.

  • With five Manchester City players featuring in the overall top ten, team styles (and player position) can clearly influence the rankings here. Filtering by position allows us to better understand which players from across the pitch are creating high quality opportunities for their team-mates.


Overall
Top 10 Overall Open Play Expected Assists Per 90 Minutes
Per 90 Minutes
Chances Created
Team Player Minutes Played xA Assists Per 90 Minutes Per 100 Pass
Kevin De Bruyne 2798 0.41 0.55 2.80 4.78
Riyad Mahrez 1940 0.28 0.37 1.95 3.94
David Silva 1832 0.27 0.49 1.87 2.66
Bernardo Silva 2029 0.27 0.22 1.95 3.28
Adama Traoré 2606 0.22 0.28 1.35 5.46
Ross Barkley 1104 0.21 0.33 1.55 3.13
Mohamed Salah 2884 0.21 0.22 1.50 5.09
Theo Walcott 1297 0.21 0.21 1.11 4.53
Raheem Sterling 2660 0.21 0.03 1.56 3.96
Paul Pogba 1205 0.20 0.22 2.02 2.69
Defenders
Top 10 Defenders Open Play Expected Assists Per 90 Minutes
Per 90 Minutes
Chances Created
Team Player Minutes Played xA Assists Per 90 Minutes Per 100 Pass
Trent Alexander-Arnold 3176 0.20 0.17 1.16 1.76
Ahmed El Mohamady 1026 0.19 0.09 1.84 4.26
Marcos Alonso 1432 0.15 0.13 1.38 2.44
Andrew Robertson 3113 0.14 0.29 1.19 1.68
César Azpilicueta 3230 0.14 0.17 1.09 1.62
João Cancelo 1205 0.14 0.00 1.27 1.70
Reece James 1513 0.13 0.12 1.07 1.79
Ryan Fredericks 2237 0.12 0.12 0.72 2.11
Kyle Walker 2395 0.11 0.15 0.53 0.73
Ben Chilwell 2375 0.11 0.11 1.06 1.72
Midfielders
Top 10 Midfielders Open Play Expected Assists Per 90 Minutes
Per 90 Minutes
Chances Created
Team Player Minutes Played xA Assists Per 90 Minutes Per 100 Pass
Kevin De Bruyne 2798 0.41 0.55 2.80 4.78
David Silva 1832 0.27 0.49 1.87 2.66
Bernardo Silva 2029 0.27 0.22 1.95 3.28
Ross Barkley 1104 0.21 0.33 1.55 3.13
Paul Pogba 1205 0.20 0.22 2.02 2.69
Emiliano Buendía 2462 0.17 0.22 1.79 3.57
Andreas Pereira 1488 0.17 0.18 1.57 3.92
Felipe Anderson 1505 0.16 0.24 1.20 2.27
Christian Pulisic 1726 0.14 0.21 1.36 3.91
Jordan Henderson 2244 0.14 0.20 0.76 1.04
Forwards
Top 10 Forwards Open Play Expected Assists Per 90 Minutes
Per 90 Minutes
Chances Created
Team Player Minutes Played xA Assists Per 90 Minutes Per 100 Pass
Riyad Mahrez 1940 0.28 0.37 1.95 3.94
Adama Traoré 2606 0.22 0.28 1.35 5.46
Mohamed Salah 2884 0.21 0.22 1.50 5.09
Theo Walcott 1297 0.21 0.21 1.11 4.53
Raheem Sterling 2660 0.21 0.03 1.56 3.96
Willian 2601 0.18 0.21 1.49 3.06
Michail Antonio 1770 0.18 0.15 1.07 4.86
Sadio Mané 2753 0.17 0.23 1.70 4.75
Bernard 1278 0.16 0.14 1.55 4.15
Sergio Agüero 1456 0.16 0.12 0.93 4.44

Graphic

Kevin De Bruyne


Riyad Mahrez


David Silva


Bernardo Silva


Adama Traoré


Ross Barkley


Mohamed Salah


Theo Walcott


Raheem Sterling


Paul Pogba


Definitions


Metric Definition
Expected Assists (xA) A measure of pass quality, showing the likelihood that a pass will be a primary assist. The model is based on the finishing location of the pass, what type of pass it was and a variety of other factors. This model is not reliant on whether a shot was taken from this pass, so credits all passes, regardless of whether they result in a shot.
Chances Created A measure of the number of times a player assists a shot (including goals).

Carries

Overview


Key Points:

  • Identifying ball carrying players who consistently create chances for themselves and their teammates can provide valuable insights into the league’s most dangerous dribblers. The list below highlights the Premier League’s top 10 players for creating goal scoring opportunities as a result of a carry.

  • Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish tops the list, closely followed by former Villain Adama Traoré. The two players, both known for their ability to move with the ball, created 75 and 67 goal scoring opportunities from their carries respectively.

  • Manchester City’s Riyad Mahrez contributed the most assists following a carry, one ahead of teammate Kevin De Bruyne.

  • Clicking on the ‘Graphics’ tab brings up the pitch map for each player, plotting the chances, assists, shots and goals resulting from their carries during the season.


Top 10 Players: Shot Ending Carries
Carry Frequency
Carry End Product
Team Player Minutes Played Carries per 90 Average Carry Distance (m) Shot Ending Key Pass Ending Assist Ending Goal Ending Total Chance Creating Carries
Jack Grealish 3234 22 12.84 30 45 3 4 75
Adama Traoré 2606 22 14.03 32 35 6 4 67
Kevin De Bruyne 2798 19 10.69 30 33 6 3 63
Riyad Mahrez 1940 22 11.51 29 27 7 4 56
Willian 2601 23 13.00 28 28 3 3 56
Raheem Sterling 2660 17 11.44 30 25 0 4 55
Gerard Deulofeu 2105 17 13.28 31 19 1 1 50
Allan Saint-Maximin 1870 20 13.71 31 15 1 1 46
Mohamed Salah 2884 11 11.16 32 14 1 4 46
Wilfried Zaha 3280 18 12.62 26 19 1 2 45

Graphic

Jack Grealish


Adama Traoré


Kevin De Bruyne


Riyad Mahrez


Willian


Raheem Sterling


Gerard Deulofeu


Allan Saint-Maximin


Mohamed Salah


Wilfried Zaha


Definitions

Metric Definition
Carries The total number of carries where a carry is defined as the player moving the ball five metres or more.
Average Carry Distance The average distance (in metres) that a player moves the ball per carry.
Shot Ending Carry The number of carries that were followed by a shot (including goals).
Chance Created Ending Carry The number of carries that were followed by a key pass/chance created.
Assist Ending Carry The number of carries that were followed by an assist.
Goal Ending Carry The number of carries that were followed by a goal.

Goalkeepers

Overview


Key Points:

  • In this section we apply shot-stopping metrics that consider the quality of the shot that the goalkeeper faces. While shots faced and save percentage can often be misleading and favour those facing a high volume of shots, these metrics, particularly assessing by ‘goals prevented rate’, can account for that. All metrics here are non penalty and exclude own goals.

  • Taking each goalkeeper that appeared most frequently for their team this season, Tottenham captain Hugo Lloris stands out. Despite missing nearly half the campaign through injury, the average Premier League goalkeeper would have been expected to concede nearly 10 more goals based on the quality of shots faced by the Frenchman.

  • In his debut season in the Premier League, Dean Henderson, backed up by a resolute Sheffield United defence, conceded the same number of goals and faced only marginally fewer shots than the incumbent at his parent club, David de Gea, but the higher quality of these shots, according to xGOT, led to his goals prevented rate ranking him joint-second highest in the league.

  • The ‘goals prevented rate’ metric can account for different keepers facing a different number of shots throughout the season. Sheffield United’s Dean Henderson and Crystal Palaces’ Vicente Guaita both have the same goals prevented rate (1.23), despite The Eagles’ goalkeeper ‘preventing’ more goals. Normalising for the volume of shots allows us to see that both goalkeepers were expected to concede 1.23 goals for every goal that they actually conceded.


Most Featured Goalkeepers Per Team
Team Player % Of Team Mins Goals Prevented Rate Goals Prevented xGOT Conceded Goals Conceded Shots Faced
Hugo Lloris 53% 1.53 9.5 27.5 18 96
Vicente Guaita 92% 1.23 9.4 49.4 40 149
Dean Henderson 95% 1.23 7.4 39.4 32 126
Martin Dubravka 100% 1.16 8.7 62.7 54 193
Ederson 90% 1.14 3.4 27.4 24 92
Kasper Schmeichel 100% 1.13 4.0 35.0 31 125
Alex McCarthy 74% 1.11 3.6 36.6 33 111
Ben Foster 100% 1.07 3.5 56.5 53 169
David de Gea 100% 1.03 1.0 33.0 32 128
Bernd Leno 77% 1.03 1.0 34.0 33 144
Mat Ryan 100% 0.98 -1.2 48.8 50 166
Lukasz Fabianski 62% 0.97 -0.8 28.2 29 100
Aaron Ramsdale 97% 0.97 -1.6 55.4 57 182
Jordan Pickford 100% 0.95 -2.5 47.5 50 144
Tim Krul 95% 0.92 -4.7 57.3 62 190
Nick Pope 100% 0.92 -3.6 41.4 45 162
Alisson 74% 0.92 -1.6 19.4 21 79
Rui Patrício 100% 0.88 -4.4 33.6 38 126
Tom Heaton 52% 0.84 -5.0 26.0 31 99
Kepa Arrizabalaga 87% 0.75 -10.6 32.4 43 97

Graphic

Hugo Lloris
Vicente Guaita
Dean Henderson
Martin Dubravka
Ederson
Kasper Schmeichel
Alex McCarthy
Ben Foster
David de Gea
Bernd Leno
Mat Ryan
Lukasz Fabianski
Aaron Ramsdale
Jordan Pickford
Tim Krul
Nick Pope
Alisson
Rui Patrício
Tom Heaton
Kepa Arrizabalaga

Definitions


Metric Definition
Expected Goals On Target (xGOT) Expected Goals on Target is a separate Expected Goals Model that includes the original xG of the shot, and the goalmouth location where the shot ended up. It gives more credit to shots that end up in the corners, vs shots that go straight down the middle, and is built on historical on-target shots.
xGOT Conceded The number of goals that a keeper was expected to concede, given the quality of the on-target shots he faced.
Goals Prevented The number of goals that a goalkeeper was expected to concede compared to the number that they actually conceded, according to xGOT. Calculated as xGOT conceded from shots on target faced, minus goals conceded.
Goals Prevented Rate The Goals Prevented metric adjusted to reflect the number of shots a keeper faced. It is the number of goals that a goalkeeper was expected to concede as a proportion of the number of goals they actually conceded. Calculated as: xGOT conceded divided by goals conceded.

Player Sequences (Defending)

Overview


Key Points:

  • Ranked by players who initiate their team’s possessions in open play most frequently, we are able to identify players who win the ball back from the opposition and initiate a sequence for their team.

  • Unsurprisingly, central defenders and defensive midfield players dominate this list, which is why positions can be filtered, allowing us to better understand which players are more involved from a defensive perspective.

  • In the forward position some familiar names appear, reinforcing this approach to identifying players who perform well in this role. Despite starting fewer possessions, Chelsea’s Willian ranks extremely highly in regards to starting sequences, as well as being the forward recording the most ball recoveries.


Overall
Top 10 Overall Open Play Sequence Starts
Per 1000 Opposition Touches
Team Player Minutes Played Open Play Possession Start Open Play Sequence Start Tackles Won Interceptions Recoveries
Wilfred Ndidi 2674 10.13 23.92 3.61 4.31 14.60
N’Golo Kanté 1733 9.41 24.64 1.53 3.37 12.09
Jan Bednarek 3058 8.98 17.78 1.62 3.29 6.88
Fabinho 2074 8.92 20.82 2.12 2.06 9.47
Virgil van Dijk 3420 8.61 22.83 0.57 1.90 10.46
Çaglar Söyüncü 3037 8.50 18.73 1.93 2.08 9.41
César Azpilicueta 3230 8.27 17.56 2.49 2.98 7.65
Jonny Evans 3385 8.20 19.69 1.51 2.54 10.24
James Tarkowski 3420 8.09 16.50 1.67 2.44 6.93
Jorginho 2384 8.07 21.33 1.91 3.05 11.74
Defender
Top 10 Defender Open Play Sequence Starts
Per 1000 Opposition Touches
Team Player Minutes Played Open Play Possession Start Open Play Sequence Start Tackles Won Interceptions Recoveries
Jan Bednarek 3058 8.98 17.78 1.62 3.29 6.88
Virgil van Dijk 3420 8.61 22.83 0.57 1.90 10.46
Çaglar Söyüncü 3037 8.50 18.73 1.93 2.08 9.41
César Azpilicueta 3230 8.27 17.56 2.49 2.98 7.65
Jonny Evans 3385 8.20 19.69 1.51 2.54 10.24
James Tarkowski 3420 8.09 16.50 1.67 2.44 6.93
Aaron Wan-Bissaka 3072 7.62 17.65 3.65 3.01 8.17
Lewis Dunk 3231 7.45 18.72 1.05 2.37 10.96
Aymeric Laporte 1104 7.43 17.07 0.70 2.32 8.13
Jack Stephens 2453 7.32 14.77 1.23 1.41 6.36
Midfielders
Top 10 Midfielders Open Play Sequence Starts
Per 1000 Opposition Touches
Team Player Minutes Played Open Play Possession Start Open Play Sequence Start Tackles Won Interceptions Recoveries
Wilfred Ndidi 2674 10.13 23.92 3.61 4.31 14.60
N’Golo Kanté 1733 9.41 24.64 1.53 3.37 12.09
Fabinho 2074 8.92 20.82 2.12 2.06 9.47
Jorginho 2384 8.07 21.33 1.91 3.05 11.74
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 2750 7.95 22.08 2.24 2.10 14.86
Etienne Capoue 2632 7.79 18.75 1.89 3.21 10.34
Rodrigo 2486 7.67 19.90 1.59 1.38 12.07
Declan Rice 3420 7.63 18.34 2.20 2.83 11.45
Jordan Henderson 2244 7.18 18.57 2.34 1.71 10.43
James Ward-Prowse 3420 7.18 18.29 1.96 2.45 10.16
Forwards
Top 10 Forwards Open Play Sequence Starts
Per 1000 Opposition Touches
Team Player Minutes Played Open Play Possession Start Open Play Sequence Start Tackles Won Interceptions Recoveries
Roberto Firmino 3001 3.33 10.04 0.90 0.33 6.47
Sadio Mané 2753 3.26 9.87 1.60 0.65 6.56
Riyad Mahrez 1940 3.17 9.05 0.70 0.90 4.52
Willian 2601 2.96 12.22 1.27 0.94 8.69
Son Heung-Min 2485 2.88 9.39 0.76 0.96 6.41
Ayoze Pérez 2019 2.85 7.22 1.25 0.62 4.59
Gerard Deulofeu 2105 2.79 9.51 0.78 1.23 6.13
Lucas Moura 2247 2.75 8.20 1.37 0.62 4.58
Richarlison 3081 2.73 9.79 2.04 0.52 7.32
Danny Ings 2812 2.57 8.78 1.02 0.37 4.94

Definitions


Metric Definition
Sequences Sequences are defined as passages of play which belong to one team and are ended by defensive actions, stoppages in play or a shot.
Possessions Possessions are defined as one or more sequences in a row belonging to the same team. A series of passes leading to a shot which is saved and results in a corner kick would comprise one possession since the same team retains control, but more than one sequence, since the ball has gone out of play. A possession is ended by the opposition gaining control of the ball.
Possession Start

The number of times that a player initiates the first open play sequence in a possession.

A player initiating the first sequence in a possession (open play sequence start) is regaining control of the ball from the opposition.

A player initiating a sequence that isn’t the first in a possession will be recovering the ball in open play following the end of their own team’s sequence (such as a shot or an opposition defensive action).
Sequence Start The number of times that a player initiates an open play sequence.
Interception A defending player intercepts a pass between opposition players.
Recovery When a player takes possession of a loose ball.

Player Sequences (Attacking)

Overview


Key Points:

  • Ranking by players who are involved in the most amount of goals (per 100 open play sequence involvements), we can see that centre forwards dominate this list.

  • Moving across to the ‘Build Up’ tab, the list shows players involved, but removes both the shot creator and the player who took the shot, providing a list that rewards players involved in earlier phases of the sequence. In his first season in England, Manchester City’s Rodrigo is one stand-out having been involved in 20 goal ending sequences from a deeper lying position.


Top 10 Goal Ending Open Play Sequence Involvements
Per 100 Open Play Sequence Involvements
Open Play Sequence Involvements
Team Player Minutes Played Goal Ending p100 Total xG p100 Shot Ending p100 Goal Ending Total xG Shot Ending
Jamie Vardy 3034 4.54 4.02 22.14 25 22.17 122
Sergio Agüero 1456 4.35 3.64 25.40 19 15.91 111
Tammy Abraham 2221 3.30 3.60 20.51 18 19.66 112
Gabriel Jesus 2027 3.25 3.72 25.70 22 25.16 174
Mason Greenwood 1312 3.05 1.48 17.11 15 7.27 84
Anthony Martial 2638 3.01 2.35 17.33 25 19.50 144
Danny Ings 2812 2.96 2.19 16.47 25 18.46 139
Riyad Mahrez 1940 2.86 2.54 19.13 29 25.72 194
Harry Kane 2589 2.84 2.10 16.08 21 15.55 119
Son Heung-Min 2485 2.73 2.02 15.92 25 18.49 146

Build Up


Top 10 Goal Ending Open Play Build Up Sequence Involvements
Per 100 Open Play Build Up Sequence Involvements
Open Play Build Up Sequence Involvements
Team Player Nineties Goal Ending p100 Total xG p100 Shot Ending p100 Goal Ending Total xG Shot Ending
Riyad Mahrez 21.6 1.45 1.19 8.69 13 10.66 78
Rodrigo 27.6 1.30 1.09 8.88 20 16.83 137
Nicolás Otamendi 19.0 1.25 1.03 8.21 11 9.03 72
Dani Ceballos 18.9 1.22 0.75 4.86 11 6.81 44
João Cancelo 13.4 1.19 1.12 9.62 9 8.52 73
Marcos Alonso 15.9 1.18 0.64 5.52 10 5.44 47
Nemanja Matic 17.6 1.10 0.74 7.68 10 6.73 70
Paul Pogba 13.4 1.10 0.67 5.90 8 4.85 43
Dennis Praet 12.6 1.09 0.99 6.74 5 4.54 31
Oleksandr Zinchenko 14.1 1.09 0.88 7.05 9 7.22 58

Definitions


Metric Definition
Open Play Sequence Involvement

The number of unique open play sequences that a player was involved in.

(Note: these are unique because multiple involvements in a single sequence will only count as one involvement)
Goal Ending Sequence Involvement The number of unique goal-ending sequences in open play that a player is involved in.
Shot Ending Sequence Involvement The number of unique shot-ending sequences in open play that a player is involved in.
xG Sequence Involvement The total xG value of unique open play shot or goal ending sequences that a player was involved in.
Build Up Sequence Involvement The number of unique build up sequences (shot and key pass removed) in open play that a player was involved in.
Goal Ending Build Up Sequence Involvement The number of unique goal-ending build up sequences (shot and key pass removed) in open play that a player is involved in.
Shot Ending Build Up Sequence Involvement The number of unique shot-ending build up sequences (shot and key pass removed) in open play that a player is involved in.
xG Build Up Sequence Involvement The total xG value of unique build up sequences that a player was involved in that resulted in a shot or a goal.